Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.035579 0.038752 0.041946 0.045395 0.049010 0.052680 0.056681
2025-11-23 0.031360 0.036137 0.041101 0.046621 0.052563 0.058746 0.065646
2025-11-30 0.028070 0.034035 0.040410 0.047674 0.055671 0.064158 0.073799
2025-12-07 0.025209 0.032055 0.039562 0.048306 0.058119 0.068707 0.080912
2025-12-14 0.022595 0.030081 0.038490 0.048484 0.059895 0.072385 0.086967
2025-12-21 0.020978 0.029083 0.038384 0.049627 0.062646 0.077066 0.094070
2025-12-28 0.018504 0.026866 0.036691 0.048789 0.063013 0.078963 0.097968
2026-01-04 0.016898 0.025572 0.035978 0.048999 0.064504 0.082069 0.103176
2026-01-11 0.015731 0.024730 0.035733 0.049695 0.066507 0.085719 0.108971
2026-01-18 0.014598 0.023843 0.035363 0.050181 0.068214 0.088992 0.114308
2026-01-25 0.012616 0.021704 0.033314 0.048517 0.067269 0.089100 0.115924
2026-02-01 0.011335 0.020416 0.032271 0.048030 0.067687 0.090765 0.119314
2026-02-08 0.010214 0.019298 0.031425 0.047789 0.068427 0.092858 0.123274
2026-02-15 0.009779 0.019133 0.031819 0.049120 0.071107 0.097281 0.130011
2026-02-22 0.009302 0.018869 0.032059 0.050239 0.073519 0.101386 0.136385
2026-03-01 0.008706 0.018385 0.031969 0.050907 0.075354 0.104788 0.141922
2026-03-08 0.008002 0.017681 0.031538 0.051098 0.076567 0.107422 0.146535
2026-03-15 0.007666 0.017531 0.031864 0.052280 0.079030 0.111583 0.152987
2026-03-22 0.006743 0.016361 0.030693 0.051418 0.078851 0.112478 0.155483
2026-03-29 0.006205 0.015785 0.030341 0.051635 0.080041 0.115047 0.159997
2026-04-05 0.005844 0.015480 0.030367 0.052353 0.081868 0.118400 0.165463
2026-04-12 0.005453 0.015091 0.030247 0.052855 0.083405 0.121387 0.170483
2026-04-19 0.004558 0.013707 0.028567 0.051139 0.081992 0.120657 0.170927